Wednesday, September 27, 2006

Further to Surface Rematerialing and recognition of its consequences.

To continue, and open with a small reprise of the last 400 years of 'Human History' it is seen involved not only the rise of Human population from ~500 Million to ~6 Billion, but the 'SPRAWL' of this Population. This population 'Sprawl' was lagging 'Growth' due to delay, the wait for relevant technology developments. It is then that this previous 400 years (from ~1600 AD) has seen a SLOW & restrained rise in the overall measure of Median Surface Temperature related to the alterations to the Materials covering the Surface.

(Figure 1) Temperature Rise vs. Population

The manifestation of a more readily made observation of Median Surface Temperature rises occurred in the last ~100 years (from ~1950 AD) perhaps also with the 'making' of this observation being itself ‘linked’ to the development of a required technology to make that observation possible. Thus it is that the situation of the ‘lagged effect’ production is seen within both the actual 'Surface Median Temperature rise' & also demonstrated within the ability to actually ‘make the observations’ of the ’sprawl effect’. HOWEVER the 'next' ~100 years however will 'begin' with technology to RAPIDLY rematerial vast regions of surface in place. The expectation of the 'rise' in 'new Human population' is of another ~5 Billion by ~2050 AD. The Geographic Human Population distribution 'NOW' will see this ‘new’ Population Growth expanding into presently underdeveloped regions in Nations presenting 'new growth economies'.

So the process that is NOW presenting alterations to Weather Patterning has the potential (by way of Human Population Growth with related Surface alterations & rematerialing) to begin 'anew' from upon those accumulations already being made with these additional entries being ‘inputted with equal stress’. However these ‘new, additional & equal’ alterations accumulating ‘NOW’ will be within only ~100 years rather than ~400 years as previously. Thus the observed effect WILL be more STRENUOUSLY produced as the prior accumulations continue with 'new additions' made more rapidly.

The recreation of this additional (& persistent) effect, as additions to the already persistent alterations in Weather Patterning, will not be presented however from behind a technological deferment within this Century, the needed material & construction technologies available already. The manifestations of observable increases ‘NOW’ in Median Surface Temperature, due to the accumulative process linked to Surface Induction will as such be far more strenuous in their production into the near future. The ‘output’ of the accumulative process will be resembling the plot in Figure 5, this accumulative process expressing only a portion of its ‘output’ as an ‘input’ to System Temperature rises with the BULK of the output being expressed as Turbulence within the Masses of the Ocean and Atmosphere, these Masses measured in (units)x(10exp24) kilograms.

The 'Policy formation' needed requires notice of the potential for 'new sprawl' of 'new Human Population' to accelerate the presently observed 'weather patterning' alterations, produced to date from the previous 400 years of accumulated surface alterations, with the real potential for these to NOW be more rapidly observed & more 'severely presented' into the next 100 years.

The image in the right of Figure 1 then can be read as becoming the 'Total Output of the Accumulative Process' that is driving the rise in Median Surface Temperature & Alterations to Turbulence being ‘expressed’ in those generally observable effects linked to Weather Patterning. This process will drive further alterations to Global 'Weather Patterning' in a related manner if the attitude of Humanity to its Habitat production is left unaltered and unheeded in its consequences.

Only a portion of this accumulative processes output will ever be observed as a 'temperature rise' in any material involved in the 'System' the System will become more Turbulent, and express that Turbulence more strenuously, & within the next ~100 years the escalation of this effect will become more rapid...& it is NOT related to any supposition of a ‘greenhouse effect’. So 'carbon' is NOT of any consequence to the output of the accumulative process.

This current 'warm climate period' is only ‘one of many’ within the last ~3 Million year 'Primary Trough' Climate Period, occurring as it does between the recurring 'Glacial Events' contained there in. It also could well be that the last ‘Ice Age’ of this present 'Trough Period' occurred just ~20,000 years ago.

(Figure 2) Ice Age surface ~20,000 years ago.

Notice the altering Periodicity of the Trough of the Primary Climate Oscillation (the green blocked Periods within Figure 3), within which the Secondary Oscillation produces recurring Glaciations within its ‘dips’. It would NOT be UNNATURAL if 'Climate' continued to rise from the current Primary Trough Climate behavior and return to the more 'common' Primary Crest behavior.

(Figure 3) Periods containing Recurring Glaciations

There does need to be distinction of the term 'global warming' from 'unnatural warming from a supposed greenhouse effect' & 'unnatural climate change'. "Global warming is real", it is just NOT unnatural with Climate rising as it IS from an 'Ice Age' just ~20,000 years.

The related & induced Weather Patterning Alterations will be more rapidly made & more strenuously presented in observations within the next ~100 years. This will then also impact on aspects of (coastal) EROSION, as it is that the MECHANICAL erosion of coastline is far more relevant that attempt to present a 'rise in pH' for any 'greenhouse supposition'.

It is to the level of 'presentation' of increased "WORK' potential to the processes of 'mechanical' Erosion & related overall Turbulent processes that the Human Population's surface constructions sprawl is adding to. In short, "Humanity is building itself into a 'Dishcleaner that is held on Rinse' to then exist within." This new 'Human Habitat' will also exist within the expected Natural rise in relative sea levels to Primary Crest positions seen already to be ~30meters + (vertically) on 'presently observed levels'.

The mechanical aspects of Erosion are linked to Turbulence production within the Mass presented by the Ocean and Atmosphere. Turbulence ‘productions’ are linked to Human Surface Sprawl and rematerialing production with rises in Median Surface Temperature (i.e. the expression of the Kinetic Energy ‘input’ RESIDUAL to overall 'System Turbulence' production & alteration).
Surface Median Temperature rise is related directly to Human Population & associated ‘Sprawl Production’ rematerialing the surface within those productions of Human Habitat (see Figure 1).

Further, notice the altering periodicity of the presentation of the Primary Trough Climate Period, those green blocks in Figure 3, with the oscillation showing a shortening of 'wavelength', & realise that 'we' are not as yet considering the oscillation AMPLITUDE. Again this is relevant to determine the RATE of change expected in observations related to the shortening of the 'time to effect an affect'.

It wouldn’t be unexpected for the overall Climate Oscillation to rise back into the Primary Crest behavior which was ‘held’ within the ~200 Million years previous to this now ~3 Million year long Trough period. Nor will this ‘tidal re-margining’ be at all heedful of 'lobby opinion', nor showing ANY 'unnatural alterations' to expected ' poll outcomes' whilst producing this 're-margining' with a vertical rise of ~50 metres in relative sea level as seen in other Primary Crest Climate Periods. Be aware then this warming period could well be also the last of this present 'Trough Period', & be such without any need to allude to 'humanistic greenhouse alterations' thus Humanity needs to prepare for an eventual & NATURAL rise in relative Sea Levels and heed less 'opportunistic greenhouse opinions' seen in Novels and Movies...

The 'tide' is indeed able to turn & do so due to Natural processes, and the TIDE will be becoming more strenuous in the WORK produced upon coastal margin strips by increasing Turbulence generally from even NATURAL sources. Greater WORK (meaning from the PHYSICS definition) will be enacted also in Atmospheric ‘events’ also, due to the NATURAL rise of Climate again unrelated in ANY real manner to ‘greenhouse suppositions & opinion’, so increasing EROSION in general terms over the Planetary Surface.

Regard again Figure 3, & notice that the irregularly periodic wavelength is shortening so it could be that the amplitude is relatively increasing to climb more rapidly from Primary Trough to Primary Crest in a shorter time. Notice the period already spent within the current Primary Trough, and notice the patterning for the past 1 billion years, this showing a decreasing period for the Primary Trough behaviours with the present block near the size of the second element, and thus there is NOW expected a ‘rise’ to an expected ‘short Crest’ that will be followed by a descent to a ‘slightly longer’ (than the present) Primary Trough period.


Humanity does indeed need to adapt, & to move Habitat and become less reliant on fixed infrastructure. Trees where abandoned Millions of years ago, Caves abandoned Thousands of years ago, what next should be the question. Idolism of ‘greenhouse opinion’ will see People huddling about windmills as the Natural rise of Ocean relative levels inundates the coast whilst the inland floods as connected River Systems are ‘Ocean inundated’. The rise (being expressions of a vertical ‘relative‘ measure) of ‘current’ Relative Sea Levels to those as known ~160 Million years ago will be entirely Natural and have nought to do with a supposed ‘greenhouse effect’...it is after all a Climate OSCILLATION that is the Natural Climate process and progression & again there is NOT shown any alteration to this progression from the supposed ‘greenhouse effect’.

Your's,
Peter K. Anderson a.k.a. Hartlod™

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